Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.166349 0.190344 0.217456 0.250531 0.290027 0.335966 0.393870
2025-07-06 0.127265 0.157854 0.196100 0.248167 0.318354 0.411394 0.547006
2025-07-13 0.106582 0.140269 0.185705 0.253052 0.353163 0.501304 0.746895
2025-07-20 0.092941 0.128125 0.178524 0.258609 0.387892 0.598532 0.991395
2025-07-27 0.082884 0.118705 0.172652 0.263609 0.421440 0.701972 1.286619
2025-08-03 0.075551 0.111855 0.168994 0.270594 0.459002 0.822645 1.668091
2025-08-10 0.068790 0.104741 0.163488 0.272882 0.488045 0.935701 2.089974
2025-08-17 0.062972 0.098267 0.157887 0.273604 0.513808 1.050048 2.579308
2025-08-24 0.057728 0.092038 0.151712 0.271896 0.533889 1.158381 3.120807
2025-08-31 0.052922 0.085972 0.144943 0.267682 0.547346 1.255523 3.696927
2025-09-07 0.050130 0.083114 0.143645 0.274311 0.587268 1.437016 4.709568
2025-09-14 0.046337 0.078023 0.137432 0.269342 0.597879 1.541204 5.523983
2025-09-21 0.043700 0.074869 0.134732 0.271978 0.629584 1.726237 6.906295
2025-09-28 0.040739 0.070816 0.129770 0.268675 0.645009 1.868202 8.272546
2025-10-05 0.038871 0.068685 0.128489 0.273877 0.686062 2.121647 10.658898
2025-10-12 0.037246 0.066866 0.127626 0.279953 0.731828 2.420864 13.931940
2025-10-19 0.035714 0.065078 0.126603 0.285453 0.777859 2.752310 18.264011
2025-10-26 0.034465 0.063746 0.126421 0.293157 0.834026 3.170259 24.676545
2025-11-02 0.032957 0.061733 0.124458 0.295681 0.873580 3.541461 32.058681
2025-11-09 0.031462 0.059618 0.122023 0.296478 0.907585 3.914401 41.278265
2025-11-16 0.029928 0.057291 0.118839 0.294592 0.931243 4.253175 52.014331
2025-11-23 0.028360 0.054768 0.114931 0.289942 0.942927 4.534625 63.777950
2025-11-30 0.027564 0.053887 0.114943 0.297258 1.006904 5.223429 91.276922